Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 172.051946 199.767639 231.834532 271.989441 321.363757 380.662485 4.581408e+02
2025-07-13 140.877463 177.265794 224.021771 289.770881 381.956261 509.973004 7.075097e+02
2025-07-20 124.746595 166.114320 223.432158 311.358588 448.023300 662.033288 1.044442e+03
2025-07-27 108.993807 151.207823 213.031325 314.334961 485.075233 780.121617 1.378780e+03
2025-08-03 98.543938 141.559680 207.637974 322.409317 530.646870 925.570963 1.834702e+03
2025-08-10 88.744584 131.117593 198.792239 322.182251 560.625844 1051.617897 2.322399e+03
2025-08-17 81.575337 123.649065 193.292529 326.176046 598.964406 1208.306947 2.989072e+03
2025-08-24 74.852146 115.944533 186.074080 325.275214 626.791064 1352.370932 3.734650e+03
2025-08-31 69.253503 109.401813 179.860070 324.932251 655.539938 1510.919829 4.673048e+03
2025-09-07 65.350920 105.298768 177.417285 331.610302 702.239849 1739.202856 6.124542e+03
2025-09-14 59.449265 97.010638 166.068711 317.393689 694.223627 1806.171869 6.980875e+03
2025-09-21 55.812223 92.462461 161.335398 316.821341 721.237828 1997.300785 8.731495e+03
2025-09-28 52.058113 87.682086 156.259133 316.311889 753.695522 2246.043067 1.144103e+04
2025-10-05 50.659569 87.240446 159.989411 337.705365 858.232023 2848.322522 1.848584e+04
2025-10-12 49.679847 87.470275 165.131123 363.942109 990.434071 3706.065329 3.243068e+04
2025-10-19 47.009595 84.024555 161.819734 367.567840 1050.579893 4300.350808 4.818565e+04
2025-10-26 45.039892 81.784602 160.863514 377.416400 1138.332259 5161.846588 7.897256e+04
2025-11-02 42.600434 78.317493 156.633753 377.139245 1188.608181 5879.252521 1.206685e+05
2025-11-09 40.700068 75.803495 154.309560 382.015419 1263.265950 6896.201243 2.055819e+05
2025-11-16 38.633409 72.737774 150.280421 380.915275 1313.052685 7830.547917 3.410033e+05
2025-11-23 36.784715 69.983846 146.686020 380.496474 1367.083720 8932.089776 6.082934e+05
2025-11-30 35.509470 68.384920 145.776989 388.655499 1468.158386 10760.321425 1.432402e+06
2025-12-07 33.143965 64.147174 137.694540 371.297011 1432.404405 11033.902149 2.062733e+06